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Technology Stocks : JDS Uniphase (JDSU)

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To: SouthFloridaGuy who wrote (10534)5/25/2000 7:56:00 PM
From: Hank Stamper  Read Replies (1) of 24042
 
"By that time the economy will have slowed to a creep. "

I vote with the Dipster on this one.

The problem here is that no one, not even Greenshades, knows when the economy will slow. This is simply no viable model for this.

It is as much of a fact as anything that the Fed's actions (s.t. rates and liquidity) constitute a blunt instrument with no dials and gages or speed indicator. It's like bashing a tomato with a hatchet. Hit it just right and you get a nice slice, otherwise you get juice and you can't tell when it will hit the fruit. I think you alluded to this when you noted that the Bad Times (1930s) was the result of mis-management. Indeed, that is a case in which there was a liquidity bubble followed by a major tightening. We have had the bubble but it is not expected that Greenspan will do the latter. Thank Goodness.

Ciao,
David Todtman
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