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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis

SPY 660.08

-0.8%

Nov 18 4:00 PM EST

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To: John Madarasz who wrote (52221)	5/26/2000 9:57:00 AM
From: bobby beara	Read Replies (1) of 99985

."It is still possible for the market to move higher from here and for the Ratio to be pushed back to it's bullish extreme,..." john, of course anything is possible, but when we put the nasdaq bubble in comparison, it dwarfs both the 1929 dow bubble and the 1989 nikkei bubble. although the chart of the nikkei and nasdaq are quite similar, BUT the final blowoff in the nikkei was done in a two year period from late 1987 to late 1989. The nasdaq bubble blowoff from the similar starting point of 1998 took slightly less than a year and a half and overshoot the 10 year nikkei chart by 1200 points, so you have a time and price rise parabolic in the nasdaq quite a bit steeper than the nikkei blowoff. i would take the bombs on security traders chart seriously. i remain bugger von bobonoff

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