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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

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To: kash johal who wrote (112967)5/26/2000 2:23:00 PM
From: kapkan4u  Read Replies (2) of 1572194
 
<We are in an irrational period.>

The pendulum has just started to move from absurd valuations to bargain basement ones. I don't expect the pendulum to go from absurd to silly and back to absurd. The cycle has to run its full course, which would mean CISCO at around $100B in market cap.

Another big negative is Japan. The government bureaucrats have been wasting trillions on public works projects instead of cutting taxes. The deficit to GDP ratio is enormous and their structurally inefficient economy is stalling again. They will probably trigger Asian crisis #2, which coupled with high interest rates in US, will be very severe.
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