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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 671.910.0%Nov 14 4:00 PM EST

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To: American Spirit who wrote (52357)5/27/2000 11:18:00 AM
From: Patrice Gigahurtz  Read Replies (1) of 99985
 
My 2 cents is that they messed up and didn't calculate the flip side of the "wealth effect" and that's the "poor effect". The gradual %-rate increase approach was working but they panicked, fearing they'd be perceived as behind-the-curve. Now where is the trust ? They promised a "gradual approach" and backed away. A misunderstood FMOC isn't that warm-and-fuzzy any more.

Now instead of a liquid stock market the trading is thin. Why ? Because % rates will be further increased if the stock market(s) rally. So what's the incentive to invest in stocks if it results in more %-rate increases ? What's the incentive to invest in bonds if there are further %-rate increases ? How does it make sense to destroy investment in the name of squelching 3% rate inflation and 3.9% unemployment because of some old pre-PC technology & pre-Internet theory that that combo will result in runaway 1980s style inflation ?

Thanks
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