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Strategies & Market Trends : The Stock Market Bubble

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To: The Ox who wrote (3211)	5/31/2000 3:01:00 PM
From: pater tenebrarum	Read Replies (1) of 3339

Michael, i agree that we do not necessarily have to see a crash and burn scenario...but i don't subscribe to the theory that there won't be any bear markets anymore. stocks are at a historical overvaluation extreme right now, and that makes a painful bear market statistically more probable than it would otherwise be. in fact, the majority of stocks as measured by the non-cap weighted VGY and the a/d line has been in a vicious bear market since April of '98. it is only the big cap bubble that remains intact so far. regards, hb

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