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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis

SPY 672.07

-1.7%

4:00 PM EST

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To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (52688)	5/31/2000 11:41:00 PM
From: pater tenebrarum	Read Replies (2) of 99985

Jacob, i'm not really sure...i think they should aim for 7 1/2 - 8%, probably the faster the better. but they are probably reluctant to do that, and i think this reluctance may well force their hand at a later stage. the election year theory can be seen from a different PoV as well: namely, should inflation data indicate higher rates would be desirable, they would be forced to hike in order to appear impartial. the election does NOT guarantee anything regarding rates. in any case, they will probably wait for clear signs of a slowdown before they stop hiking....and i have a little pet theory that this overheated, overleveraged economy is fated to enter into a recession rather more quickly than is generally assumed. i'm looking for a sudden, surprising slowdown from one set of data to the next. we'll see, but i guess that's how it will play out. regards, hb

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