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Technology Stocks : Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO)
CSCO 76.22+0.1%Nov 24 3:59 PM EST

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To: RetiredNow who wrote (36794)6/1/2000 7:36:00 AM
From: GVTucker  Read Replies (2) of 77400
 
mindmeld, RE: This fundamental concept once grasped will allow you to realize why long term holders of Nortel and Cisco could care less about these rate hikes. They just don't matter.

Rates do matter to long term holders, particularly for a stock like Cisco.

When you pay 100x earnings for a company, you are counting on earnings far out to justify holding the stock today. The higher rates go, the less those far out earnings are worth today. $1 of earnings 10 years out is worth 48½ if you use 7.5% as a discount factor. It is worth 38½ if you use 10%. Looking even further to the future, high rates render earnings 20 years hence close to zero today.

Rates do matter. If you don't care about rates personally, it will be to your detriment.
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