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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack -- A Complete Analysis

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To: donald sew who wrote (24142)6/5/2000 2:33:00 PM
From: Les H  Read Replies (1) of 42787
 
Liquidity Trim Tabs Summary June 5, 2000

Bottom Line: We Turn Cautiously Bullish & Expect To Go Short Soon. End of Margin Selling Rally Could Last Another Week or So

Headline: Liquidity Negative Last Week. Big Flows Likely Early This Week Bulling Stocks Higher. Historically, Stocks Always Pop After Margin Liquidation Ends, But For How Long?

Subheads: Liquidity Rebounds in May. New Cash Takeovers Surge While New Offerings Slump. All Equity Fund Flows Through Early June Tops Total 1999 Flow. Our Guess: Insider Selling & New Offerings Will Surge in June. Float Likely To Grow in June if Current Trends Persist. May Withheld Taxes Slows to 8.6% Y/o/Y Gain From 15.2% in April Slower Growth in Tax Collections Will Reduce Surplus and Hurt Long Bond Prices. Last Weeks Equity Outflow Likely Reversed This Week. US Equity Funds % & Actual Cash Surged 13% at End of April.

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