OK - I'll take a stab at the wireless data issue.
First of all, I think it's pretty safe to say that technological innovation is a product, mainly, of the United States. I think that the wireless infrastructure that we currently see in Europe was brought about not because "want" but because of "need".
Efforts in the United States were not so developed, because up until now, there really hasn't been a high need. Like, Europe, we also have an extensive wired network, and so far, it has served us well...maybe too well from the wireless perspective.
However, I've seen wireless data transfer, and it is very popular where it has been implemented. I don't think that many in Europe or Japan have seen it - unless - they're connected to a company based here.
My gut feel, for whatever that's worth, is that the United States sleeping giant is waking up...and will once again take the lead in technological innovation, this time, as it pertains to wireless. And, once again, the world will see what it likes, and will follow.
Perhaps Europe and Japan don't see the opportunity - or just plain don't have the desire or skills to promote innovation. Remember that less than two years ago, just about nobody except QCOM thought that CDMA was possible. Well, it is. And these same companies/interests would now like us to believe that they are now not only able to build CDMA, they can build a superior flavor.
The facts, to date, state otherwise.
Yes, China is technologically backward. Given that, why is it that their desire to produce their own flavor of CDMA is seen as so viable?
Why is it that people are so willing to believe the W-CDMA claims from Europe?
How is it that a news agency such as Reuters gets away with publishing such an obviously biased opinion. They're not publishing news - they're publishing opinion, and they also appear to be getting their facts wrong.
Let's assume that China has some smarts. Let's say that they might be interested in not only using, but exporting CDMA equipment. Why would they choose to go with a solution that wasn't brought about by the technological innovator?
We're going to have HDR in 1/2 year. I think it's going to be a wake-up call.
If I remember correctly, it was HDR that sent QCOM's share price rocketing - not any prospect of business in China. |