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Strategies & Market Trends : MARKET INDEX TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MITA

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To: marginmike who wrote (3453)6/6/2000 11:37:00 PM
From: J.T.  Read Replies (2) of 19219
 
Mike, Commitment of Traders (COT)Report BEARISH:

Data for the SPX 500 Futures contracts thru Friday May 30th (updated weekly), The Large commercial traders- (banks, brokers and mutual funds) have moved to a record net short 37, 700+ contracts.

This is the supposed same smart money that was also net short BIGTIME right before October '87, October '97, and April '98 market collapses.

However, these commercials were also net short several times since 95' and were burned bad. Commercials were burned bad this past week as well as this data was thru 5/30 right before the monster SPX 3 day gains on 5/30, 5/31 and 6/2.

It will be very interesting to see what the new net short position of the commercials is this week - The data comes out Friday night.

It used to be that anytime the commercials were net short position in the SPX for an extended time, a downturn was imminent.

Best Regards, J.T.
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