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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

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To: eplace who wrote (115249)6/9/2000 9:11:00 PM
From: TimF  Read Replies (2) of 1571120
 
I agree Mike, the easiest money has been made in the stock. I believe AMD still has 2 to 10 times runnup
possibilities for the next 2-3 years


I would be very suprised if it didn't go 2x in that time frame but a ten bagger from here? $136 billion market cap within 3 years? It would be sweet, but it seems unlikely.

Hmm, just did a bit of math on this. If AMD makes about $15 a pre split share in earnings and has a P/E of 60 then it would be possible. I wonder how many Athlons AMD would have to sell to get an EPS north of $15. 60 P/E also seems a bit high AMD is growing fast now but we wont have this type of growth forever and unless AMD takes over as the chip gorilla (which is doubtful) I don't think it will happen. But if the recent pull back in NASDAQ was just a strong correction and the bull market continues for a couple of more years, combined with AMD continuing to execute well over that time frame it is possible. However I don't think Intel will continue to execute as poorly as they have recently and any such senario, in my opinion requires poor execution from Intel.

Tim
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