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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

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To: niceguy767 who wrote (115877)6/14/2000 3:50:00 PM
From: Goutam  Read Replies (2) of 1579772
 
TO: all

AMD Q2 EPS Contest

When you post your EPS contest estimates, you don't need to post it to me.
I read every message on this board, so you can post to any one or to the
first post (Duncan Baird)

Current list of AMD Q2'00 EPS Contest estimates: epscontest.com
                                                K7s          K6-xs         CPG      Memory  Total           
Message Sold K7s Sold K6-xs Revenues Sales Revenues Stock
Name Board Date EPS (M) ASP (M) ASP (M) (M) (M) Price+
=================== ============ ======== ===== ==== ======= ===== ======= ======== ======= ======== =======
DANY AMDZone 06-02-00 $1.36 $229 $53 $904 $335 $1150 $113.00
eCo AMDZone 06-09-00 $1.96 1.95 $230 5.30 $51 $830 $360 $1274 $141.00
CGN41 AMDZone 06-03-00 $2.01 2.78 $249 4.50 $53 $988 $388 $1511 $149.70
eander315 Cam's board 06-03-00 $1.70 $129.25
Geoff Mathias Cam's board 06-03-00 $1.85 1.95 $230 4.85 $49 $686 $365 $1165 $125.00
Cameron Jones Cam's board 06-03-00 $1.90 1.96 $255 5.32 $58 $750 $402 $1320 $117.00
Richard Aronson Cam's board 06-03-00 $2.05 $114.00
mmagic ClearStation 06-10-00 $1.85 $1365 $150.00
Peter Luc JC News 06-10-00 $1.30 1.80 $220 4.60 $45 $780 $400 $1180 $105.00
Jonathan Ruedisueli JC News 06-02-00 $1.35 2.10 $225 4.00 $45 $335 $105.00
Casey JC News 06-10-00 $1.51 1.90 $230 5.30 $51 $807 $412 $1219 $107.00
Kix Butts JC News 06-12-00 $1.51 1.80 $209 4.10 $48 $657 $353 $1146 $109.00
plethora JC News 06-01-00 $1.80
Grave JC News 06-02-00 $1.80 2.90 $230 4.80 $45 $330 $098.00
mikron JC News 06-02-00 $1.88 2.00 $220 4.80 $54 $799 $350 $1230 $160.00
Reinhard JC News 06-02-00 $1.92 2.10 $233 4.20 $52 $710 $340 $121.00
ratdogg JC News 06-02-00 $2.03 1.90 $220 4.60 $56 $744 $320 $1310 $158.44
ANDRE JC News 06-03-00 $2.08 2.10 $278 5.50 $43 $845 $390 $1351 $148.00
lahoz Motley Fool 06-12-00 $1.45 2.30 $235 4.90 $51 $865 $370 $1325 $121.00
deployboy2000 Motley Fool 06-02-00 $1.48 $246.50
fillmore Motley Fool 06-02-00 $1.64
cordob Motley Fool 06-02-00 $1.72
kcmurphy Motley Fool 06-12-00 $1.75 2.30 $220 6.00 $60 $850 $420 $1300 $125.00
MyluvBeTru Other 06-11-00 $2.20 2.26 $250 5.70 $52 $941 $356 $1320 $135.00
eetnoyer Raging Bull 06-08-00 $1.28 1.90 $250 4.80 $54 $814 $360 $1174 $125.00
ABurner Raging Bull 06-08-00 $1.56 1.80 $245 4.70 $53 $790 $353 $1260 $111.00
sf_jeff Raging Bull 06-09-00 $1.78 1.80 $241 4.70 $54 $765 $354 $1255 $123.00
lymanking Raging Bull 06-01-00 $2.07 1.95 $260 4.80 $60 $839 $353.5 $1307 $130.00
lawguyman Raging Bull 06-01-00 $2.10 1.80 $300 5.40 $65 $991 $387 $1378 $092.00
Mani Ahmadi SI 06-07-00 $1.48 1.90 $230 4.40 $52 $756 $360 $1270 $106.00
chic hearne SI 06-13-00 $1.48 1.80 $270 4.50 $52 $790 $370 $1250 $113.00
minnow68 SI 06-07-00 $1.70 1.80 $282 4.50 $50 $731 $353 $1208 $102.00
eplace SI 06-13-00 $1.72 1.80 $260 4.50 $53 $776 $354 $1241 $133.00
paul ma SI 06-02-00 $1.77 1.90 $240 4.50 $51 $780 $359.7 $1260 $125.00
THE WATSONYOUTH SI 06-07-00 $1.77 1.98 $238 4.50 $54 $785 $356 $1260 $112.00
Jozef Halada SI 06-07-00 $1.92 1.95 $240 5.05 $53 $810 $360 $1280 $105.00
milo_morai SI 06-07-00 $1.99 2.00 $238 4.75 $55 $839 $361 $1299 $138.00
Goutama SI 06-07-00 $2.03 2.00 $240 4.80 $53 $834 $355 $1305 $144.00
pgerassi SI 06-07-00 $2.05 2.00 $230 4.60 $55 $760 $380 $1270 $145.00
Midnight_Trader Yahoo 06-08-99 $1.43 1.90 $240 4.80 $51 $740 $360 $1230 $125.00
alta_is_for_skiers Yahoo 06-07-00 $1.48 $773 $353 $1250
p3killer Yahoo 06-07-00 $1.76 2.10 $250 4.70 $42 $793 $365 $1286
Vadim17 Yahoo 06-11-00 $1.86 2.20 $235 4.50 $51 $815 $365 $1285 $135.00
K7s K6-xs CPG Memory Total
Sold K7s Sold K6-xs Revenues Sales Revenues Stock
EPS (M) ASP (M) ASP (M) (M) (M) Price+
===== ==== ======= ===== ======= ======== ======= ======== =======
Averages Combined: $1.75 2.02 $241.49 4.79 $52.11 $804.03 $363.48 $1271.59 $127.42
AMDZone $1.78 2.36 $236.00 4.90 $52.33 $907.33 $361.00 $1311.67 $134.57
Cam's board $1.87 1.96 $242.50 5.09 $53.50 $718.00 $383.50 $1242.50 $121.31
ClearStation $1.85 $1365.00 $150.00
JC News $1.72 2.07 $229.44 4.66 $48.78 $763.14 $358.89 $1239.33 $123.49
Motley Fool $1.61 2.30 $227.50 5.45 $55.50 $857.50 $395.00 $1312.50 $164.17
Other $2.20 2.26 $250.00 5.70 $52.00 $941.00 $356.00 $1320.00 $135.00
Raging Bull $1.76 1.85 $259.20 4.88 $57.20 $839.80 $361.50 $1274.80 $116.20
SI $1.79 1.91 $246.80 4.61 $52.80 $786.10 $360.87 $1264.30 $122.30
Yahoo $1.63 2.07 $241.67 4.67 $48.00 $780.25 $360.75 $1262.75 $130.00
Total Entries: 43 34 35 34 35 34 36 34 38
Standard Dev: 0.24 0.25 19.03 0.43 4.63 72.61 21.69 70.65 25.91


Averages History
================

K7s K6-xs CPG Memory Total
Sold K7s Sold K6-xs Revenues Sales Revenues Stock
EPS (M) ASP (M) ASP (M) (M) (M) Price+
===== ==== ======= ===== ======= ======== ======= ======== =======
Jun 14, 2000 $1.75 2.02 $241.49 4.79 $52.11 $804.03 $363.48 $1271.59 $127.42
Jun 12, 2000 $1.77 2.02 $241.93 4.79 $52.00 $806.86 $361.88 $1274.90 $128.68
Jun 10, 2000 $1.78 1.99 $244.13 4.74 $52.35 $787.91 $358.43 $1269.90 $128.42
Jun 7, 2000 $1.80 2.05 $242.17 4.70 $52.58 $802.82 $354.86 $1293.10 $136.84

Q1'00 Actual Numbers(some are best
guesses based on AMD's Q1'00 CC.) $1.15 1.20 $238.00 5.30 $53.00 $327.00 $71.00
Q1'00 Apr 13, 2000 Estimates $0.91 1.61 $234.18 5.07 $53.40 $325.51 $70.55

Q4'99 Actual Numbers(some are best
guesses based on AMD's Q4'99 CC.
Credits: John Petzinger,SI) $0.43 0.80 $249.00 5.20 $56.00 $275.00 $38.00
Q4'99 Dec 31, 1999 Estimates $0.29 1.15 $270.00 4.77 $57.00 $264.00 $39.91

+NYSE - AMD Stock Closing(16:00 - 16:30 EST) Price the Day after EPS Release.
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