Blake, where did you take your creative writing course? <g> I've got to admit, you're fun to read. ;-)
Slide 14 (our current point of contention, my double agent friend): Most manufacturers are allegedly sampling. Very few are at first revision right now. Most kick in late in 2001. Kinda clashes with the chipset wet dreams on the subsequent slide(s). I had a girlfriend once that did that to me. Oooh yeahhh.
Are you sure you don't mean slide 7? Show's first samples and major revisions, ie: die shrinks? (Slide 14 show's non-PC low end trends). Assuming you meant slide 7, not only are chips sampling or in production from 8 sources, we also know there are DDRDRAM modules already in production. Two I could find quickly.
Hyundai kcs.hei.co.kr Note the availability. Celestica, (developed in conjunction with IBM micro electronics) celestica.com
And since you like to make fun of projections, how about this one from Dataquest, a source Rambus prefers to use. (BTW, found this in Rambus article archives).
(03/16/99) Schlumberger takes on RDRAM test challenge ....Shipments swelling According to estimates from Dataquest Inc. (San Jose, Calif.), Rambus DRAM production will account for 5 percent of the total DRAM shipments this year, then swell to about 31 percent next year. (sic, 2000) eetimes.com
How close to 31% do you think they'll come this year? Of course, that "totally unreliable" source, Semico, has RDRAM at ~8%.
But all this fun and games aside, I think you'll have to admit Rambus and DDR will coexist in the future. What we don't know is the respective level's. JMHO's <g> |