Cha2,
Re: CDMA 2000 v. UMTS/UTRA (WCDMA) DS
<< Re the "island" quote. Strange in the extreme. Perhaps he is a Synder clone >>
Hershel is a clone of noone. They broke the mold when they made him. Actually I can's say that I have followed Hershel to closely for the last few years so I really don't know where he stands on cdmaOne/cdma2000. I am not currently in touch with anyone that subscribes his newsletter.
I don't have a real concern about the 1st Shostek quote "I would be very skeptical of claims that the political situation [between state-run Unicom and Qualcomm] is resolved." There is enough confusion about China to justify that one.
I have, however, again reread the final paragraph of the story. It is a curious one, and today, every article you see, has it's little enigmas.
>> "Analyst Shostek predicted that carriers in South Korea and Japan would quickly drop so-called "generation 2.5" technologies and go directly to 3G. That means cdma2000 could become a "technology island" if, as expected, Japanese carriers like DDI go to the Universal Mobile Telecommunications System, the European implementation of 3G." <<
In this case there seems to be something missing or askew in that paragraph. The first sentence and known facts, or facts in the article, don't seem to support the conclusion in the second sentence.
I know there is the possibility that SK Telecom will build out a UMTS system in new spectrum to complement a cdma2000 system using a bridge and hooks and extensions. Like you, I have however seen nothing recent that would indicate that DDI IDO is still considering this.
Perhaps the last line should read NTT DoCoMo instead of DDI?
Who knows? I don't think DDI is ready to rush into building out a network in new spectrum since, unlike DoCoMo, they have plenty of existing spectrum.
I really don't think that cdma2000 will become a "technology" island. A lot can happen between now and the time DDI builds out with 3G harmonization and standards evolution.
<< the London news on "smart cards" seems positive for roaming and specifically for CDMA >>
That is one of the reasons I do not think that cdma2000 will become a "technology" island.
Regardless, the article seems pretty Qualcomm positive overall, and I'm pleased to see that. That has been the case with most EE Times articles. They are so far as I can tell pretty objective.
- Eric - |