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Non-Tech : Office Product Stocks - ODP/SPLS/OMX/VKNG/CEXP/OFIS/BOP
SPLS 10.250.0%Sep 28 5:00 PM EST

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To: Bill Brogan who wrote (66)5/12/1997 10:05:00 PM
From: AL TOTH   of 297
 
Bill-Since that post of April 9, I have done a significant amount of
research on CEXP. I have 2 accounts, one for my daytrading and another for my long term investments. What I was looking for was a
non-tech industry company (to eliminate volitility),with a low
share price, low P/E, little or no downside risk and significant
upside potential. Surprisely, CEXP met all these criteria.

The original P/E I was going by was 32, but the source providing it was wrong. Because CEXPs fiscal year ends the end of FEB.,some
source were calculating the P/E based on calendar year 1996. Its
correct P/E is 16-17 which is now 5% below the industry average.

Basically CEXPs stock price was trashed not because of problems
with its core office product business but because of problems
with its recently acquired delivery business. I knew this would
happen but now that the stock is down from its high of 30 1/4, it
has been significantly punished and is very undervalued.

IMO CEXP is very capable of straigtening out its new delivery
company..It has also hired a significant number of top executives
to handle its future growth more effectively. My prediction is
that in 1 to 2 quarters CEXP will show quarterly results that show
its delivery problems are resolved and its growth mode is back in
action. Once that happens the stock price will rise dramatically.
Ive put my money where my mouth is too. For the last two weeks I
have had Smith Barney convert my entire investment portfolio with them to CEXP stock. The only criteria I gave them was to buy under $10
after commissions. If everything goes ok,I see a$20 stock. Best
case scenario is $30 in 12 - 18 months.

I think the heavy volume you see is the institutions and funds
also stockpiling the stock looking for the same scenario. The
stock is not rising because the results arent there yet and wont
be for awhile.

AL
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