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Pastimes : The Justa and Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club Thread
VTI 334.36-0.3%Dec 16 4:00 PM EST
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To: Nandu who wrote (34)7/3/2000 10:33:38 AM
From: Hank Stamper  Read Replies (2) of 10065
 
Secular bear market: (roughly) one lasting for much longer than a cyclical bear market; maybe lasts for 10 - 15 years; example is the 1994 bear that did not end until 1982 or the 1930s. These bear markets reflect very broad and deep underlying structural problems. 'Normal' business cycles operate within the secular bear but overall, the stock markets go down or sideways and bull markets fizzle out as they try to break out of the secular trend.

Cyclical bear market: (roughly) lasts 6 to 36 months on average. Reflects 'normal' fluctuations in the business cycle.

I vote we have a cyclical bear market.

Ciao,
David Todtman
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