7/5*************NEW INVESTORS POST*****************
I AM TRULY SORRY THAT NEW INVESTORS NEED TO SUBJECT THEMSELVES TO THE GARBAGE BEING HURLED AT COII BY SOME SLIMY HOOLIGANS. HOWEVER, IF YOU ARE NEW TO COII YOU SHOULD KNOW A FEW THINGS:
1. THERE IS A HUGE SHORT POSITION AGAINST COII. THAT MEANS THAT A GROUP OF INVESTORS HAS BET THAT COII WOULD GO DOWN, AND IT INSTEAD WENT UP. THEY NEED TO PRESSURE THE PRICE DOWN TO SURVIVE.
2. YOU CAN PROFIT BY DOLLAR COST AVERAGING INTO COII OVER THE NEXT COUPLE WEEKS DURING THIS PERIOD. IT WILL PASS, COII WILL BE ON NASDAQ AND THEN WILL BE APPROVED BY THE FDA.
USE THIS SELL-OFF TO PROFIT.
MY GUESS ABOUT THE PIPELINE:
modules 2 and 3 is in!
4 going in very soon, less than 1 month?
5 should not be far behind it--my guess is mid to late summer.
foreign sales slowly coming together.
nasdaq approval soon!!!!
we should be approved by october-november
these are just my guesses--i could be right or wrong, of course.
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COII (CTI) is the leader in the emerging field of thermal medical imaging.
They will be first to market with a computerized thermal imaging system to be used inititally as an adjunct to mammography. They have at least a one year head start on all competitors. Orders from foreign countries are already being taken(we assume)and they have plenty of
funding for a fast and furious national roll-out.
CTI will help stop the breast cancer epidemic. Then, they will become major players in the diagnosis of back/neck
pain(work injuries), followed by many other potential areas such as dermatology, cardioloigy, etc.
Their breast cancer detection system should be approved by summer/fall 2000.
Use these links to help you in your study of COII.
1. Go to the Silicon Investor "research" thread and read the last 5-15 posts, at least.
Subject 21613
2. Go to the company website and study it--especially the thermal images of cancer vs. normal tissue..see news release from Feb. for images:
cti-net.com
3. Go to the yahoo COII "profile"
biz.yahoo.com
4. Institutional buying interest has started.
insidertrader.com
5. CTI may eventually replace mammography as the screening of choice for breast cancer--then it could be back/neck
pain, melanoma, etc.
CTI's EARNING POTENTIAL
Let's assume that 1-2 years after approval:
300 imaging centers X 200,000-400,000 net/system = 60M net
note: this is conservative. it is possible they could make FAR more per system. think about it: they can process 4-6 ladies per hour. each breast will NET around $30, with most women having both done for total of $60 per exam.
$50 x 4/hour x 8 hr. day x 6 days/week x 50 weeks/yr. =
NET of 480,000 per year.
Then assume they sell sell 200 systems x 250,000 net = 50M NET ONE YEAR AFTER APPROVAL = $110M
ASSUME 110M SHARES OUTSTANDING GIVES US $1/SHARE
So if we assume that they have a p/e of 50 during the first couple years (this would drop to 25 after 1-2 years) it would give a stock price of:
$50 with a 50 p/e or $25 with a 25 p/e
My one year price projection after approval is $25-$50
My 2-3 year projection is $50-$100
My 5+ year prjection is $100-$200
These are all back of the envelope estimates and have no guidance from the company. I will update these estimates as time progresses. If anyone has any suggestions, please let me know. Please realize that all of these computations are very conservative.
CTI will have a great run for at least 2-3 years. The long term investor wins with CTI.
note: the above are only my estimates and could be right or wrong.
curtis |
