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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack -- A Complete Analysis

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To: bobby beara who wrote (25051)	7/8/2000 11:08:58 AM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu	Read Replies (1) of 42787

BB, Jay Harding is focusing on the wrong indicators. Debt is one main factor for the slowdown. I bet you many are at their limit on their credit cards. Real earnings after taxes did not keep track with prices ...... or otherwise also called inflation. The jump in oil prices which all of us see it daily brought some memories back and some restrain. Aside, for example the car life cycle is not 5 years but closer to 10 and US population does not grow 10% a year. Same will apply to housing and it's appliances. The DOT.COM's are letting people go and not hiring like mad. The FED action on interest rates is affecting the economy at the fringes and only keeps the dollar strong. Way off the popular perception that recent interest hikes are cooling the economy. A slowing economy has more to do with credit limits and debt burden than interest rates. Cost of credit to you and me or other small business barrely changed since 1997. On my Chicken page over a year ago I stated that only a slowing in consumption growth will induce a weaker labor market which will slow the stock market and then the economy. IMHO the FED is in a box due to their mistakes in 1998 were they saved Clinton Presidency by lowering interest rates and as a result damaged the world economy long term. The FED stepped out of their responsibility and manipulated the outcome of US politics and therefore they violated the USC Title 18, ......... part I, Chater 11 or for example Chapter 115 will fit in reverse. If two or more persons conspire to commit any offense named in this section, each shall be fined under this title or imprisoned not more than twenty years, or both, and shall be ineligible for employment by the United States or any department or agency thereof, for the five years next following his conviction. ........ and I bet ya DMP will disagree <GGGGGG> BWDIK Haim

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