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Strategies & Market Trends : Pluvia's Fist.com - Pluvia's Plays & Portfolio

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To: Pluvia who wrote (823)	7/10/2000 11:37:37 AM
From: Q.	Read Replies (1) of 1766

re. <<KEI is an overvalued play, the overvalued plays are second in winning trade % to fraud. Fraud seem never to miss...>> That's certainly true. KEI is an excellent company that was overvalued by a factor of two, compared to the average multiples in its industry. yahoo.marketguide.com Thus, the most you could realistically hope for in shorting KEI would be a 50% drop in the stock price, compared to the peak, unless you were also counting on the industry as a whole to fall. OTOH, OTC:BB fraud stocks frequently fall >90% over a period of 6-12 mos, regardless of what other stocks in their "industry" might do.

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