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Technology Stocks : Qualcomm Moderated Thread - please read rules before posting
QCOM 139.86+1.9%2:45 PM EST

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To: nbfm who wrote (734)7/12/2000 11:42:52 AM
From: carranza2  Read Replies (1) of 197636
 
Therefore, while the future looks very bright (assuming NOK and NEC and other holdouts sign on for WCDMA), that future is so far out that the stock price needs to be supported over the next few years by ever increasing revenue streams from CDMAone and CDMA1x (deployment coming very very soon) and to a certain extent by CDMA2000 (how many will actually deploy it?). It is those revenue streams which are being questioned and examined very closely -- and which are found wanting by investors big and small.

I would suggest to you that the revenues from 1X are going to be substantial and that they will support the stock price nicely, particularly if HDR as an overlay is used. The demand for wireless data worldwide appears to be huge. The US will lead the way, along with Korea, just as they did with CDMAOne. The revenue streams will commence this year and snowball in 2001. With a little luck, Euros will recognize that the GSM cabal has set its sights on unnecessarily bleeding the carriers and the consumers with the ludicrous migration path to WCDMA it has created. I expect some difficult intra-cabal discussions which might result in relaxation of the standards in order to allow the Q a foothold in Europe. Should this happen, things will be brighter there.

The investment community does not understand the complexities of the wireless world, and is punishing Q for not making its case clear. This is a God-send as the stock is seriously undervalued at this time.

The IPR issue is a battle without contestants. A deal with NOK and NTT is inevitable if they want to be 3G players.

Just my long-range thoughts in response to your long-range post.

Best
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