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Pastimes : Clown-Free Zone... sorry, no clowns allowed

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To: chic_hearne who wrote (3807)7/14/2000 11:49:47 AM
From: pater tenebrarum  Read Replies (2) of 436258
 
why do they limit you at all? very strange - or is this in connection with shorting options?

btw, i'm dead serious...i spent all night yesterday going through indicators, historical evidence, etc.

my conclusion is that an election defying collapse has at least a 75% chance of occurring.

the trigger will be a surprise - one of my candidates is a possible credit crunch beginning in the European corporate bond market and spreading from there around the world.

in fact i see several possible triggers on the horizon, none of which are the subject of much concern right now. the panic will have a different shape than its predecessors in history...and it should be worse.

originally i was looking for a 4 trillion bucks market cap wipe-out...i'm thinking now that it might be more than that.

of course i could be totally wrong - the new era may well have designs to over-rule my prediction and all the indices could be making new manic highs by October.

if so, i would have to concede that an unprecedented fundamental change has taken place that i am unable to spot.
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