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Biotech / Medical : Biotech Valuation
CRSP 56.71+0.4%9:30 AM EST

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To: NeuroInvestment who wrote (1343)7/15/2000 1:40:16 AM
From: John McCarthy  Read Replies (1) of 52153
 
Does this seem outlandish?

Memantine for Diabetes ........

User Population:...... 800,000 ...... 1,200,000

Annual Tablets ............365..............365
SP per Tablet ...........$1.00............$1.00
Annual Rev $ ..........$365.00..........$365.00

Annual FRX Rev$ ..$292,000,000.....$438,000,000

NTII Royalty % ............15%...............15%

Royalties $ ......$43,800,000......$65,700,000

Opinions from anyone are greatly appreciated ....

Lastly, I view whatever the Royalties$ are as
equivalent to EBIT$ ...

other R&D being mgt./investor discretion
and G&A $ so small as to be ignored ....

regards,
John McCarthy
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