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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 677.58+0.3%Nov 5 4:00 PM EST

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To: Les H who wrote (56697)7/17/2000 8:42:47 PM
From: Les H  Read Replies (1) of 99985
 
WHAT TO EXPECT NOW. July 17, 2000 Ord Oracle

On July 12, the September S&P's broke above the previous high of June 19 on heavier volume. This condition implies a valid break out to the upside. Therefore, we want to buy the next pull back. So far, the market has not pullback. However, we expect a pullback is forthcoming. On today's rally, the volume on the NYSE volume shrank to 897 million shares. This decrease in volume today shows a lack of force behind the rally and usually foretells a correction is about to begin. Because the market did have a valid breakout, we will not attempt at a short position but rather attempt to buy the pull back near the 50% retracement from the previous low. On the September S&P's a 50% retracement would be near the 1495 level and on the S&P cash index it would equate to 1475 level. On July 12, Nasdaq Composite did break above the previous high set on June 22 on increased volume. This condition implies a valid break out also. The "5 day ARMS" on the Naz closed at 3.47 today. Readings near 3.25 and below are found near highs. For very short term, the volume shrank on the Nasdaq as the market rallied today warning that a correction is not far off. We will look for a pull back to get long on this index also. The XAU is still building a base. We are long the XAU.
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