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Technology Stocks : EMC How high can it go?
EMC 29.050.0%Sep 15 5:00 PM EST

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To: Bob Frasca who wrote (10662)7/20/2000 3:00:49 AM
From: Gus  Read Replies (2) of 17183
 

Mcdata EMC Mcdata/EMC (%)

1Q1999 13.2 39.0 33.8%
2Q1999 21.0 46.0 45.7%
3Q1999 22.7 24.0 94.6%
4Q1999 38.4 34.0 112.9%
1Q2000 47.1 39.0 120.8%
2Q2000 ? 37.0 ?

1) EMC owns 100% of Mcdata Holdings, which owns
100% of Mcdata Class A (81m shares). Mcdata Class A
owns 86% of Mcdata Class B (25m shares). This owner-
ship percentage fluctuates with EMC's contracted
employee option program for Mcdata.

2) The Mcdata revenues that EMC has been reporting in
its books since the 1997 reorg consist of the
following components:

a) ESCON Director Switch revenues net of service fees
paid to Mcdata for acutal design and manufacture.

b) Because EMC still owns 50% of Mcdata, it also
reports a prorated version of Mcdata's core revenues.

3) Mcdata's CORE revenues consist of the following:

a) Service fees paid by EMC for the ESCON Director
Switches.

b) FICON bridge card revenues

c) FC Director Switch/FabricReady products


Notes:

1) Connectrix grew 345% YoY. The ED5000 Director
Switch, which EMC uses in its flagship switch
product, accounted for 43% of 1Q2000 Mcdata Core
Revenues of $47.1 million, or $20.2 million. EMC
also uses Mcdata's EFC software product as part of
its ControlCenter suite.

2) Mcdata's FC switch/software business grew 97%
YoY, implying revenues of $41.4 million.

3) ESCON-based products declined 19% YoY.

4) Mcdata's ESCON/FICON revenues will probably
show some growth when IBM, which just posted
storage revenue growth of 30% YoY, introduces
its G7 S390 mainframe under a new pricing scheme
later this year. Also, IBM still has to add
FC connectivity to all the Shark systems it has
sold over the last year.

Mcdata's ESCON/FICON business should benefit from
this because Mcdata has been the exclusive supplier
of ESCON Director Switches to IBM for the last 6
years. I think it is clear, however, that Mcdata
will continue to grow with EMC's Connectrix for the
next few quarters until IBM and Hitachi become a
much larger part of its business.
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