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Technology Stocks : StorageNetworks, Inc. (STOR)
STOR 32.210.0%Feb 3 4:00 PM EST

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To: The Other Analyst who wrote (45)7/21/2000 12:57:59 PM
From: Bill Fischofer  Read Replies (1) of 187
 
Re: Valuations

While I would not try to defend STOR's current valuation, history has shown repeatedly that shorting on valuation in new markets is a high risk strategy. I think one of the reasons for this is that estimates of market size for new markets tend to be wildly inaccurate. Dataquest is in business to publish reports. This doesn't mean that they have any reliable insight into what the real market size for outsourced storage will be in 2003 or any other year. If you take that $8 billion guesstimate as gospel then the valuation argument looks reasonable. But the real question is what the growth trajectory of the market will look like rather than trying to pin an absolute number on it at some specific future point in time.

That being said, I've no doubt that STOR will be volatile and will present profitable shorting opportunities for those so inclined. Perhaps the lowest risk time to look for such opportunities would be as the 180-day IPO lockup period expiration approaches.
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