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Strategies & Market Trends : Technical Analysis - Beginners

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To: mikeman who wrote (10934)	7/23/2000 3:46:20 PM
From: Richard Estes	Read Replies (3) of 12039

Webb needs to read this, too. equis.com The a-z book provides definitions, it is worth the money for a hard copy. A variable moving average is an exponential moving average that automatically adjusts the smoothing percentage based on the volatility of the data series. The more volatile the data, the more sensitive the smoothing constant used in the moving average calculation. Sensitivity is increased by giving more weight given to the current data. The Time Series Forecast indicator displays the statistical trend of a security's price over a specified time period. The trend is based on linear regression analysis. Rather than plotting a straight linear regression trendline, the Time Series Forecast plots the last point of multiple linear regression trendlines. The resulting Time Series Forecast indicator is sometimes referred to as the "moving linear regression" indicator or the "regression oscillator." While the variable MA will speed up in trends or slow down in ranges, The time series tend to follow price faster. Of the two, variable is more conservative. I consider both better tools than the simple, exponential or weighted MAs.

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