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Technology Stocks : Rambus (RMBS) - Eagle or Penguin
RMBS 88.13+1.0%Nov 21 9:30 AM EST

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To: Estephen who wrote (47830)7/25/2000 10:52:49 PM
From: richard surckla  Read Replies (2) of 93625
 
Estephen & Longs... from Yahoo...

All Longs, Please Read-USB Warburg
by: silrw
7/25/00 10:38 pm
Msg: 140104 of 140112
USB Warburg on Intel and Rambus today! I found this on another thread.

"11:31am EDT 25-Jul-00 UBS Warburg INTEL PREPARES TO DEFEND ITS POSITION WITH AGGRESSIVE P4
RAMP
SUMMARY:
Intel's position in the microprocessor market has come under increasing pressure as AMD's Athlon processor has been able
to challenge Intel at the mid- and higher-performance segments of the market. We believe that Intel is accelerating its
performance treadmill with the aim of out distancing AMD and attempting to relegate the AMD's processors to the
lower-end segments of the market, a strategy that has worked successfully in the past.
HIGHLIGHTS:
* Key to this strategy is the introduction of the Pentium 4 processor. We expect Intel to introduce the Pentium 4 in
September starting at speed of 1.3 and 1.4 GHz with plans of aggressively building on this performance level in 2001.
* Rambus memory is key to delivering the performance promised by the Pentium 4 processor. However, with the current
state of under capacity in the semiconductor industry, SDRAM prices are trending upward and PC manufacturers are not
finding ample motivation to drive the volume ramp of RDRAM in 2H00.
* As Intel prepares for its semi-annual developers forum, we believe that they are developing a contingency plan in case they
are required to drive Pentium 4 processors more rapidly into the mainstream desktop or an ample supply of RDRAMs does
not materialize to support the Pentium 4 ramp in 2001. We believe that Intel has developed a plan and is beginning to notify
OEM's that it intends to introduce a lower performance Pentium 4 chipset that supports PC133Mhz SDRAM in 2H01
targeted at mid-range systems.
* Regarding Intel (INTC-$138-Buy): We believe that Intel is taking the appropriate steps to defend its position in the
marketplace without engaging in an all-out price war by pursuing a strategy that has worked well in the past. Accordingly we
maintain our Buy rating with a 12 month target price of $190.
* Regarding Rambus (RMBS-$86.19-Strong Buy): We maintain our Strong Buy rating and 12-month $165 target price.
We believe that the company's high performance RDRAM memory will become a dominant architecture as higher
performance Pentium 4 systems create demand and volume economics reduce cost which should allow RDRAM to
penetrate into the mainstream desktop, more likely to occur in 2H01/1H02. Near-term, based on the company's strong IP
portfolio and recent successful non-RDRAM licensing agreements with Toshiba and Hitachi, and an expectation that more
will follow, we are not motivated to change our estimates or investment view."

Posted as a reply to: Msg 140082 by its_all_grey
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