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Technology Stocks : AUTOHOME, Inc
ATHM 23.75+0.1%Dec 1 3:59 PM EST

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To: gpowell who wrote (24042)7/27/2000 11:29:54 AM
From: Michaelth1  Read Replies (1) of 29970
 
gpowell:

<<Remember the Pentium bug? The busy signal crisis at AOL?>

Yes and yes. Have people stopped buying Intel chips or signing up for AOL? No and no. In fact, they are doing so at faster rates than prior to these crises.

The busy signal problem was in 1996, correct? Let’s look at AOL’s sequential growth rate since Jun of 92 (see post linked to this one).

Examining the data, prior to the “busy signal crisis” AOL grew their subscriber base, sequentially, at an average of 26.3%. After the crisis the growth has slowed to an average of 9.4%.

So much for your “fact”. >

I didn't mean that the growth rate increased after those "crises", I meant (I could have been clearer) that the absolute number of purchases (not percentage increases) increased since those incidents. AOL is a mature business and it's fairly unrealistic to think that it could keep the growth rates of pre-1996.

According to your stats (http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=14114291), in the 4 years from June 92 to June 96, AOL added about 6 million subs; in the 4 years since, AOL added about 17 million subs. Doesn't seem, to me, like a crises.
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