8/14/00 – Evening NEWS and REVIEW of CNC.
Commentary
CNC closed unchanged today.
7 5/8 Vol. 1.69 mill.
At the close Bid 102300 @ 7 ½ , Ask 3000 @ 7 9/16.
The technical analysis today ( per eSignal ) was very positive:
-volume even lower than ALL of last 4 weeks,
-Bollinger bands between bid and ask TIGHTENING, ie buyers need to come up with more cash,
-Money Flow steadily INCREASING X 1 week
-1/2 hour ( 1245-1315 ) of almost NO trades!!
-SHORTING stock IS PIDDLY...100, 200, 500 shares. We don't see the 50000, 100000 blocks of 2-3 weeks ago. Shorty Inc is running out of bullets...CNC stock to short... click...click...empty chamber..
-STAYING ABOVE 50 day Moving Average.
-DECREASING STOP -LOSS sell orders,
Shorty Inc. starting to feel the heat..
pants getting sweaty....
:-))
=========================================================== Today CNC named David Herzog Executive Vice President and General Counsel .
biz.yahoo.com
About Herzog
bakerdaniels.com messages.yahoo.com
and
Baker & Daniels Law firm he works at:
bakerdaniels.com
Resources to handle any case.
bakerdaniels.com
" With more than 60 litigators and paralegals, Baker & Daniels has the resources to initiate or respond to litigation demands
anywhere,
anytime.
We handle state and federal cases in Indiana and throughout the United States, and have served as national counsel to clients in complex multistate litigation.
As the exclusive Indiana member of
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· bakerdaniels.com
· Computer · Telecommunications · Federal trademark litigation and actions for product disparagement; · Trade libel; · Interference with contractual or business relationships. · .Federal trademark litigation and actions for product disparagement;
***********************************
It is suspected ( but not yet verified ) that Bull-Dog-Herzog will be coming after some tender Pink meat such as this;
Mr.P$nk trashing Gary Wendt: --------------------------- Message 14133572 “ Didn't you see the 666 carved in the back of Wendt's head. Nothing short of a silver bullet between the eye will kill this turd. But give it time, dear and good friend, this steamy smoldering turd will dry and wither in the afternoon sun and blow away with the morning wind and then you and He shall stand victorious with the profits and spoils that are the right of all good soldiers who fight the battle against evil companies and strive to protect the common man. “ Mr. P$nk
messages.yahoo.com 88 “Wendt needs to stand and deliver something more satifsying than books in a fluffy dough. What will the Pillsbury doughboy cook up next? “
MP
doughboy.com “Click for photo of Gary “ by: Mr_Pink_esq
messages.yahoo.com 88 Wendt showing his petulant colors by selectively discosing information to analysts.
Mr. P$nk
messages.yahoo.com 88 employee moralle terrible over Bendt hiring. How would you feel if you were told you gotta cut back and suck it up and some bitter guy who looks li ===========================================================
Of course ringside seats for this epochal dog-fight are at a premium. We know Herzog pulls no punches ( or shall we say,..." rabid bites "...).
We are now waiting for Pinky’s next bark ( or whine as the case may be ),
Cheers and good will,
back later,
TA
PS Late closing News:
Fitch places some Conseco, Green Tree ABS on alert biz.yahoo.com
************************************************************** $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ ************************************************************** CNC Balance Sheet conseco.com CNCRestructuringProgram.com quicken.com ************************************************************** CNC CHART & Technical Analysis CHART stockcharts.com[L,A]DCCLYYMY[DC][PB10!B20!B30!B50!F][VC60][IUH14,3!LI14,3!LC20!LK14!LA12,26,9] SI CHART siliconinvestor.com MONEY FLOW Stats by Softechie Aug 8, 3000 : Message 14184790 ************************************************************************* MAJOR RECENT ARTICLES ON CNC ==================================== moneynet.com@NEWS-P2&Index=1&HeadlineURL=../News/NewsHeadlines.asp&DISABLE_FORM=&NAVSVC=News\Company Aug 9 (Reuters) - Conseco Finance, fixed final terms for its 2000-4 series $1.2 billion nine-tranche asset-backed bond launched on August 4. Rating Aaa/AAA/AAA ragingbull.altavista.com Aug. 9,: A consortium of eight insurance companies has completed a $40.5 million investment in affordable-housing projects across the state, the first test of an effort to get insurers to voluntarily invest in community development. ragingbull.altavista.com Aug. 4, 2000: Conseco prices senior classes of $1.2 bln ABS deal favorably ragingbull.altavista.com Aug. 4, 2000:Conseco Capital Management Names New Co-Portfolio Managers for Conseco High Yield Fund ragingbull.altavista.com Aug. 4, 2000: Dow Jones Newswires Conseco Promotes From Within After High-Yield Exodus 7/27/00 BUSINESS WIRE: CONSECO Announces Restructuring Program ,Parts I, II, III & IV , from RB ragingbull.altavista.com quicken.com DOW JONES NEWSWIRE 7/27/00:COMPLETE EPS REPORT 1: dowjones.work.com 2: dowjones.work.com 3: dowjones.work.com 7/24/00 BLOOMBERG: WENDT GETS RID OF LEOPARD CHAIR AND .......PROTECTS SHAREHOLDER EQUITY: quote.bloomberg.com . 7/19/2000 WENDT HIRES Ex-GE CRISIS TEAM biz.yahoo.com 7/12/2000 20 MILLION PAID TO HIRE WENDT Wendt gets 45 mill less than if he had stayed at the Golf Course and got paidby GE to non - compete and do nothing. GE gets 10 mill CNC shares, will make another killing. messages.yahoo.com 6/30/2000 WENDT BACK FROM HONEYMOON messages.yahoo.com ******************************************************** VARIOUS CNC INVESTORS ***************************** GABELLI FUND UP 23% has 9% of position in CNC: messages.yahoo.com PROFIT VALUE FUND: 4 star Morningstar rating. In last 3 months has added new position in Conseco, to make in 8th largest position; position similar in size to its holding in Berkshire. messages.yahoo.com ************************************************************** BROKERS’ and ANALYSTS ‘ OPINION ====================================== 8/10/2000Gary Smith from REALMONEY.COM at The StreetCom puts a buy on CNC with a stop at 7. Anyway, here are a few charts to look at as you sip your morning Cafe Yukon: thestreet.com ragingbull.altavista.com thestreet.com 8/5/00 S & P raises Outlook to highest, 5 ( on scale 1 to 5 ) messages.yahoo.com 7/30/00 STANDARD AND POOR UPGRADES CNC TO 4 STARS FROM 3 STARS Message 14133330 7/31/00 Merrill Lynch messages.yahoo.com .7/26/00 LEHMAN MAINTAINS OUTPERORM II ON CNC Message 14109720 *********************************************************** OVERVIEW of CONSECO INSURANCE RATINGS ========================================= conseco.com RATING AGENCIES , MOODY’S, S & P etc ======================================== Aug. 11. 2000:Conseco 2000-4 $1.2B Manufactured Hsg Contract P-T Rtd By Fitch Message 14200638 biz.yahoo.com Aug. 11, 2000: Fitch Downgrades Conseco Rtgs biz.yahoo.com Message 14200576 S & P ============================ www2.marketwatch.com ragingbull.altavista.com S&P cuts Conseco Fin status Aug. 8, 2000--3:18 pm - By Chris Kraeuter Conseco Finance's credit rating status was revised to "negative" from "developing" by Standard & Poor's. According to a S&P statement, S&P "believes Conseco Finance's creditworthiness is severely limited by a lack of funding flexibility and aggressive leverage." Also, S&P cited its belief that the finance unit will not be sold to a "higher-rated" entity in the foreseeable future. Conseco Finance's ratings were placed on "developing" on March 31. Conseco's (CNC: news, msgs) ratings status was placed on "negative" on April 7. Currently, Conseco shares are down 1/16 to 7 7/8 on volume of 2.8 million shares. ragingbull.altavista.com Comment from RB poster on above S & P reports: messages.yahoo.com 8/9/00 1:58:00 PM : Business WireS&P Places Various Green Tree Cert Rtgs on Watch Neg The revision in the CreditWatch status reflects the increasing likelihood that Conseco Finance will not be sold to a higher-rated entity in the foreseeable future. ragingbull.altavista.com Comment from RB poster on above S & P reports: -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- MOODY’S ======================= quote.bloomberg.com . " While Moody's said it expects the company and its bank lenders to reach a satisfactory agreement, it said the details of such an agreement and the effects on Conseco's operations remain uncertain. moodys.com New York, June 30, 2000 -- Moody's Investors Service has downgraded the credit ratings of Conseco, Inc. and its affiliates (senior debt rating to Ba3 from Ba1). moodys.com New York, April 20, 2000 -- Moody's Investors Service lowered the senior unsecured debt ratings of Conseco, Inc. and Conseco Finance to Ba1 from Baa3.
MORNINGSTAR/FINANCIAL ============================ messages.yahoo.com Morningstar grades CNC a B-, for financial health, just slightly below average for insurance industry and average for universe of stocks. DALBAR Insurance Rating Web site ================================ Part 1 messages.yahoo.com Part 2 messages.yahoo.com
FITCH
8/14/00Fitch places some Conseco, Green Tree ABS on alert
biz.yahoo.com ************************************************************** VARIOUS OTHER ISSUES IN CNC: ************************************************************** ISSUE OF PRODUCING A GIANT SHORT SQUEEZE: ================================================ First, to effect a short squeeze in CNC and see a giant squirt of cash upwards in your CNC stock: b) ask your broker to put the stock out of Street name, or b) ask your broker to put a sell price “ good till cancelled “ at let’s say $40 or $50. That will remove it from the short pool.. c) or simply ask him to restrict it, ie you don’t want to have it loaned out for shorting. Aug: 11, 2000:REUTERS: "Liquidator" Jacobs bets on insurer's turnaround biz.yahoo.com Message 14172703 CNC in WORTH Magazine via Maverick Capital's Hedge Fund Manager - Lee Ainslie. Ainslie is a noted short seller who has averaged 24.8% after fees with $5B under management. He has covered his CNC position: “ I am not going to go Against somebody of Wendt’s reputation “. 8-1-00 Star Tribune: Neal St. Anthony/On Business: Jacobs roars, short sellers yawn startribune.com 7/31/00 J.J. CRAMER FROM TheStreetCom editorializes: “ A great Idea !!!” ragingbull.altavista.com 7/27/00 IRWIN JACOBS WANTS TO PRODUCE A SHORT SQUEEZE. ……….He puts this Ad in WallStJ. then other papers messages.yahoo.com streetmonkey.com PERSONAL on Irwin Jacobs IRWIN JACOBS PICTURE : interactive.wsj.com Angling for Tie-Ins, Irwin Jacobs Took Up Big-Time Bass Fishing interactive.wsj.com Message 14204449 An introductory song about short covering: amazon.com messages.yahoo.com ======================================================== CURRENT SHORT INTEREST is ! 64, 000, 000 shares accordint to Wall St. Jour. But could be much higher, 78,211,523 shares According to this web site: trading-ideas.com Shorting Rules ragingbull.altavista.com BOOKS ON SHORTING ======================== (We encourage would be shorts to read these and go ahead short some more and make Mr.Wendt’s Day when the big squeezarooo comes along). capatcolumbia.com ” Bad “ Shorting Advice from Mr.P$nk ===================== “Mr. Pink's Picks: selected event-driven value investments “ in SI Thread, by Mr. P$nk Esq. Message 14187856 MISCELLANEOUS SHORTING =============================== CNC Stock Analysis of the day by paulthebigfinn at YAHOO board messages.yahoo.com ************************************************************** 7/22/2000 ISSUE OF CNC BANKRUPTCY or of DILUTION of SHAREHOLDER EQUITY ====================================== Part I messages.yahoo.com. Part II messages.yahoo.com. messages.yahoo.com. 7/28/00 :ISSUE of FABER CNBC REPORT & CONTROVERSY ( ie that Wendt is going to dilute shareholder equity ?). ragingbull.altavista.com 7/29/00 reply by ta to FABER Report: CNBC FABER is either LYING or MISINFORMED messages.yahoo.com 7/24/00 Cnet : ''We're not going to be diluting shareholder value at ridiculously low prices,'' Wndt said. cnetinvestor.com messages.yahoo.com 7/31/00 FABER CORRECTS HIMSELF: “ CNC WILL N O T ISSUE ANY N E W EQUITY “. boards.cnbc.com Thank you Mr. FABER. ************************************************************** ISSUE OF MR.T.LEE'S PREFERRED STOCK ========================================= messages.yahoo.com messages.yahoo.com ISSUE of VALUE of PREFERRED STOCK ====================================== messages.yahoo.com ************************************************************** LAWSUITS, INTERNET AND CNC ================================= 8/14/00 CNC hires David Herzog as V.P. and General Counsel Message 14211926 From Law firm Baker and Daniels a very large Indianapolis firm: bakerdaniels.com
REVIEW OF RECENT INTERNET LAWSUITS: ------------------------------------------------------------- Message 14157877
Friday August 4, H-Quotient, Inc., Files Suit Against Alleged Stock Manipulators Message 14173025 The most recent Lawsuit won by Biometrix Message 14158321 And just before that New subpoenas on the way biz.yahoo.com *************************************************** NEGATIVE ARTICLES ON CNC ====================================== 7/27/00 TheStreetCom: Herb's Hotline: Oversight by Conseco? thestreet.com 7/10/00 TheStreetCom: Conseco Sets Rich Pay Package for New CEO, By Peter Eavis Message 14023449 7/11/00 Herb's Hotline: Will These Conseco Capers Never Cease? By Herb Greenberg thestreet.com &/14/00 Bloomberg :Conseco Outdoes Itself in Piling Gifts on Wendt: by Graef Crystal ragingbull.altavista.com 7/31/00 Warburg initiates coverage with hold; messages.yahoo.com 7/31/00WSJ Colin Devine from Smith Barney is worried about CNC messages.yahoo.com messages.yahoo.com *************************************************************** MISCELLANEOUS ********************** MISCELLANEWS CNC NEWS August 11, 2000: Dow Jones News: Conseco Preferred gains in NYSE Message 14204249 August 11, 2000: Dow Jones News: CNC FLEXIBLE PORTFOLIO MUTUAL FUNDS TOP PERFORMANCE Message 14204221 ******************************************************** WHY I INVEST IN CONSECO ragingbull.altavista.com .WHAT IS CNC REALLY WORTH? View from a competitor Mr>Nauert, CEO of CERES: starnews.com A note from RB about who Nauert is: ragingbull.altavista.com WHO IS GARY WENDT *************************** MAGAZINE ARTICLES ON GARY WENDT =================================== Aug. 7, 2000 :BUSINESS WEEK ragingbull.altavista.com My comments on Business Week Article: Music…Music…Music.. Message 14127197 1997 FORBES/GECAPITAL: " BLOWING BUBBLES " forbes.com PREVIOUS REVIEW POSTS ON GARY WENDT ======================================================= . July 5, 2000: REVIEW OF GARY WELCH LIFE AND ARTICLES Message 13993832 July 10, 2000: W S J : GE Capital’s Wendt: " A BRUTAL NEGOTIATOR " Message 14023303 WENDT'S BUSINESS CARD ******************************** I am responsible for 38% of GE's net income: GE’s profit has come increasingly from Financial Services That’s GECapital, the company I run, at GE: businessweek.com And here how I compare with the giants: Revenues quicken.com Cash Flow quicken.com Net Income quicken.com *************************************************************** TA |