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Technology Stocks : All About Sun Microsystems
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To: fuzzymath who wrote (34570)8/20/2000 4:35:24 AM
From: QwikSand  Read Replies (1) of 64865
 
Kevin: Thanks for posting that Economist article. Which is bullshit.

Linux is important, but it isn't just going to waltz in and take over the business. It will go through (and already is going through) its own version of the Unix wars, and it's surprising that people don't seem to realize that yet. Sun has won so far because it has learned its lessons from the Unix wars, and it has refused to get sucked into the various commodity swamps.

What exactly does it mean when these Unix vendors are going to "combine" Linux with their own flavor of Unix to come out with an AIX-RL or a UnixGarbageWare+Linux? IMHO it means that eventually there's going to be a compatibility mess, a men-in-suits ego war, hostility between the vendors and the arrogant and fanatical "Open Source Community". It's not Sun who's arrogant; the Economist writer is wrong. Sun simply sticks to its knitting and pursues a clear-eyed strategy while everybody else thrashes and prays to the golden calf du jour.

To me it seems obvious. But most writers don't seem to get it, and it's certainly possible I'm wrong. However, if I am wrong, we won't find out about it for five years because that's how long it MUST take the thrashers to turn their "disruptions" into complete product solutions customers can understand. It is absolutely imperative to remember that the late great Monterey project was talked about by SCO, INTC, IBM and HP as though it were actually real for nearly three years without ever getting so much as an inch off the ground before people finally stopped pretending. This despite the fact that the project was ridiculous on its face the day it was announced in early 1998.

Five years. By then, I for one will be too rich to care.

--QS
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