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Technology Stocks : Advanced Micro Devices - Moderated (AMD)
AMD 214.87-0.1%Dec 23 3:59 PM EST

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To: Mani1 who started this subject8/23/2000 10:50:55 AM
From: AK2004Read Replies (1) of 275872
 
needham reiterates strong buy

08:47am EDT 23-Aug-00 Needham & Co. (Dan K. Scovel 212-705-0322) AMD
BUSINESS CONDITIONS REMAIN STRONG: REITERATE STRONG BUY

Equity Research Morning Note Dan K. Scovel (212) 705-0322
August 23, 2000 dscovel@needhamco.com
William J. Sherman (212) 705-0289
wsherman@needhamco.com

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD/NYSE)

Business Conditions Remain Strong: Reiterate Strong Buy

Price (8/22/00): $34.50 Shares Outstanding (MM): 312
52 Week Range: $48.50 - $8.19 Market Cap. (MM): $10,746
Recommendation/Target: Strong Buy/$58 Average Daily Volume (000): 2,719

12/99A 12/00E 12/01E
Was Is Was Is
Revenue (MM) $2,857.6 $4,953.1 $6,160.5
Growth 12% 73% 24%
Op. Margin 3.9% 21.0% 24.7%
EPS: 1Q ($0.44) $0.41A $0.62
EPS: 2Q 0.27 Same 0.53A Same 0.65
EPS: 3Q (0.36) 0.55 0.74
EPS: 4Q 0.21 0.67 0.89
EPS: Year ($0.30) $2.14 $2.89
Growth NMF NMF 13%
P/E Ratio 16.1x 11.9x
*Adjusted for split
Summary
* Business conditions remain extremely favorable: low-end Duron microprocessor
demand is very strong and the company has yet to see any indications of flash
memory market weakness.
* Management continues to guide for microprocessor unit shipments 3Q and 4Q
approaching 7 million and 9 million, respectively. This is slightly above our
current estimate of 6.8 million and 8.2 million, respectively.
* Contrary to speculation, we do not expect AMD to announce any form of
significant business engagement with Dell Computer in the foreseeable future.
* Future microprocessors code named Corvette and Camaro have been renamed to
Palomino and Morgan, respectively, to avoid distressing a very large company
outside the industry.
* The company split its shares 2:1 on August 21. Our earnings estimates have
been adjusted for this event and are otherwise unchanged.
....................................
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