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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly?
MSFT 474.82-0.8%Dec 15 3:59 PM EST

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To: globestocks who wrote (48641)8/23/2000 3:11:59 PM
From: Charles Tutt  Read Replies (1) of 74651
 
If they build a "new" PC OS, people will be confronted with a choice of whether or not to switch to it. At that point, they might choose instead to switch to something else, especially if the transition to the something else involves a similar magnitude of pain. The same kind of thing pertains to Itanium. Will Intel be able to convince people to choose IT as the next in the progression, rather than some other available choice? I think AMD, e.g., is counting on being able to provide a less painful transition to the next level. Even Intel seems to be hedging its bet with increased emphasis on the ARM architecture. (BTW, does MSFT have ANYTHING that runs on ARM?)

Microsoft owes its existence in some sense to having been able to slip into place at a point of dramatic change, as PC's began to displace 8080 and Z80 based computers using CP/M and the S100 bus.

Dramatic change by its very nature involves risk for the ensconced.

JMHO.
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