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Biotech / Medical : Biotech Valuation
CRSP 55.84+1.8%Dec 19 3:59 PM EST

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To: Elmer who wrote (1479)8/26/2000 10:33:06 AM
From: scaram(o)uche  Read Replies (1) of 52153
 
If you had talked -- early -- to physicians in the Idec lymphoma trial, you'd have lost all your money.

You want to know if antigen-negative variants appear at a high frequency in the course of therapy. I found one encouraging abstract for you. Go try to find more pros and cons from the literature, and then force IR to become an independent and unbiased research resource for you.

This is easy to do. It takes more than a couple of days, but it almost always allows you to separate the bs companies from the "Agourons" of the world.

Even "Agourons" get blindsides. Drug development is risky.

Biotech investing -- (1) get an angle on the odds through contact with those with appropriate technical backgrounds, and (2) avoid companies that are willing to stick you with bs.

Please, please, please, please note that I am not commenting on the quality of projects or communications from DNDN. I am interested in the company, and hopeful for modest successes. I'm just not interested enough in the business plan to focus my research on them.

I can and will comment that not all was as peachy in the early days of Immunex as some would have you believe.

We've been in a bull biotech market. Our account balances make us all look like geniuses. When it gets tough again, one can leave the sector and hunt for different routes to success, or one can learn how to make good money in "stock-picker's heaven", aka "biotech".
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