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Strategies & Market Trends : Ask DrBob

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To: longdong_63 who wrote (1838)8/26/2000 11:02:05 PM
From: Drbob512  Read Replies (4) of 100058
 
LD: Have to say that I have heard this kind of rhetoric many times in the past 25 years, and with the exception of '87 (which was a quick bear market by historical standards), the doom and gloomers have been very wrong.

I don't see enough evidence for a market crash of major proportions. Of course, the Dow and NYSE could have a correction soon, as they have had a pretty good runup compared to the Nasdaq, which has had a technical rally from a bear market decline of 40%.

Did Hahn correctly forecast the April-May major correction/bear market or is he a trend follower after the fact? I am not criticizing him, because I will take your word that he is good. It is just that some people get bearish at the wrong time as trend followers who are too late.

Most people's TA does not call for a sharp decline, but anything is possible. It's just not probably now, from my TA perspective. We already had a Nasdaq crash of 40% this year, and I don't see it happening again this year.

What do you think?
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