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Technology Stocks : Energy Conversion Devices

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To: Futurist who wrote (5193)9/5/2000 7:17:33 PM
From: Don Devlin1 Recommendation  Read Replies (2) of 8393
 
On December 6, 1996 I was the first person in Los Angeles to lease a GM Gen 1 EV1. In December of 1999 I leased a GM Gen 2 EV and am presently driving that car and averaging about 140 miles per charge (Nickel metal Hydride batteries made in Troy Michigan).

Within a month or two after leasing the first EV1 I began to notice what appeared to be terrible advertising and absurd marketing. I made my feelings known to everyone involved and was assured that the advertising and marketing would change. Month after month the promises of change were given by GM and Saturn to the EV1 drivers but there were no changes. After a few more months and even years it became clear that this Giant Corporation and all other Auto companies were trying to sink the electric car. They had developed the egg that could kill the Golden Goose. How? No replaceable parts required, other than tires. No maintenance. Batteries (NiMH) that would last the life of the vehicle. In volume the EV could be sold for the amount of profit GM makes on their large SUVS.

In 1998 I wrote the following letter to EVworld.co and it was published.


Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart and the EV1

by Don Devlin

Remember that very fine British play and movie, 'Amadeus'? The story dealt with
Mozart's last years at a time when he was no longer the precocious child prodigy
who had delighted the music world in 18th century Europe. He arrives at the
king's court relatively unknown and is not immediately identified as the great
genius who the world will later revere.

There is one person however that does recognize the sublime brilliance of the
great master. Salieri is the official composer of the Austrian court. Although
Salieri is a minor composer, he is the most respected composer,and the very one
who could do the most for Mozart and the very one in the court most threatened
by Mozart's genius. Although conflicted by his great admiration for the young
composer Salieri believes that for his own survival he must destroy the great artist
who threatens his exalted position.

And now we come to the General Motor's EV1. Is there an analogy here?

GM and other automobile companies are experiencing one of their most
profitable periods. Much of this affluence comes with the outsized SUVs that
have now taken a bit more than half the consumer market. The profits on these
monsters of waste and consumption and pollution are enormous. The parts
replacement business is enormous. The infrastructure is in place.

The General Motors EV1, the electric vehicle, is a masterpiece even in its first
generation. The second generation is about to appear with very few significant
changes but with the emphasis on greater range through the addition of advanced
Nickel metal hydride batteries.

The problem is that the EV1 is a snap to make and in volume could sell for a
very reasonable price. There's no engine, no clutch, no transmission and on and
on. The car is essentially an aerodynamic, electronic computer with wheels. It is a
technological marvel. It has but one moving (Propulsion) part as opposed to hundreds in the
Internal combustion engine.

The EV1 is a no maintenance vehicle it could last more than ten years without
ever setting wheels in a gas station or changing a part. No grease, no dirt, no
smell, no pollution. That's not sometime in the future, that's now.

The talk is that the new batteries will last the life of the vehicle, over 100,000
miles although that has not yet been officially announced. The EV1 is a
powerhouse. It can power out of a dead stop faster than almost all Gas engine
cars. With instant torque, it can feel like a G force if you hit the accelerator hard.
It amazes everyone who has ever driven it. It is the most aerodynamic production
vehicle in the world. It is beautiful and attracts the attention and approval of
everyone who recognizes it. You may by now have heard reference to the
famous 'EV smile' that comes from fellow drivers and the ever constant 'Thumbs
up' EV drivers experience.

The GM EV1 is simply the best URBAN , Suburban, and commuter vehicle in
the world.

Is it in the minds of the planners that they have created the machine that can kill
their golden Goose?

Some think that is the case and is the only thing that can explain what has to be
the most unattractive most uninforming and in fact invisible advertising campaign
in history. GM advertising has yet to show a full shot, or attractive picture of the
car after two years in the marketplace.

As an EV1 driver I can tell you that each day as I am charging at a public
charger or simply, parked somewhere, a small crowd of people gather to ask
questions about the car. They know not who makes it, how it is propelled, how
far or fast it will go , where to go buy or lease it , how much does it cost, where
do you charge it, will it run out of fuel and on and on. GM and all the other
companies have told the potential consumers nothing at all that would induce
them to buy or lease these vehicles.

Is this incompetence or has Salieri decided the car must be destroyed? If this is
intentional they are succeeding wonderfully in destroying or seriously delaying the
advance of the electrics.

If after two years, this is actually incompetence, the future of the electric vehicle is
very much in doubt and so is the future of the executives responsible for this
incredible debacle.

I believe These thought have been proven to be true. September 5th 2000
Don Devlin
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