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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services

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To: Olaf Koch who started this subject9/7/2000 6:49:57 PM
From: Rob Shilling  Read Replies (3) of 95453
 
Since the topic of the day seems to be whether or not $35 crude is bubble or not, I will throw my two cents in:

If world-wide production is indeed peaking right now (some think it is peaking or it will be peaking soon), then using historical numbers for oil prices won't make sense.
Why can't $30 oil be a "normal" price going forward, just like $17-21 used to be "normal".
Even at $30 a barrel, oil is a really cheap energy source on a cost/unit power comparison. It is going to be tough for new technologies to beat that.
Also, I see the latest call by Saudia Arabia for consuming nations to reduce gasoline taxes as signficant. I see that statement as meaning "we are tired of the countries that don't own the oil, pocketing money from the oil". If taxes are reduced, oil can trade at higher levels, and prices of gasoline at the pumps will still be at levels that won't reduce demand.
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