IBM Message Board - Msg: 14357891

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Technology Stocks : IBM

IBM 305.67

+2.6%

Jan 16 9:30 AM EST

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To: Dave Lyall who started this subject	9/10/2000 12:12:36 PM
From: bambs	Read Replies (1) of 8220

Five year return on owning IBM stock. 464% !!!!!! Look at the numbers and ask yourself is this a bubble market. The stock has gone up 464% and changed from trading at 4 times sales to 20 times sales. IBM Income growth 1 yr = -5.1% , 5 yr = 10.9% - from stock buy back, spin offs, and gains from investments. Revenue growth 1 yr = -1.3% , 5 yr = 4.3% , 10 yr = 3.1% Cash Flow growth 1 yr = -6.1% , 5 yr = 6.7% In the last year it has negative income, revenue and cash flow growth. Over 5 to 10 years it really hasn't grown anything but it's share price. If the stock price remained in line with income, revenue and cash flow growth you wouldn't even beat inflation. Going into a bear market and slowing economy as a long term holder of IBM is a very risky bet. I hope that the "second half story" they have been going on about is a real page turner. I think investing in IBM at this level is a fools game. I will be adding to my short through the coming weeks, Bambs

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