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Pastimes : Clown-Free Zone... sorry, no clowns allowed

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To: AllansAlias who wrote (17345)9/11/2000 10:15:11 PM
From: Perspective  Read Replies (3) of 436258
 
I agree with the idea of buying on that trendline test, much like I should have been buying on the 200DSMA test today. They WILL make an attempt to save it there. I hopefully will be able to take advantage of that, but strictly for a short-term trade. I'll be in for about 10% in the favorites, and then re-establish shorts.

My question is: what does one consider to be a trendline failure these days? NDX spent nearly a week underneath the trendline in both of the previous tests. I guess I was guilty of seeing intraday failures in SOX and NDX at old lows and thinking the whole thing was coming unglued. Maybe I need to see two consecutive down closes below the line? Maybe the churning action without further downside progress should have tipped me off to the upside outcome?

I used to be able to smell bottoms (pun NOT intended!) by waiting for the composite put/call ratio to spike up over 1.00. I think it barely crossed 0.9 for just a single day during the previous southward expedition, which meant I was caught awaiting further downside.

BC
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