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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH
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To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (36255)9/12/2000 3:36:29 PM
From: Neocon  Read Replies (2) of 769667
 
First, it doesn't matter even if you were factually correct (you are not). The margin of error has to always be factored in. It is the confidence interval. Say Gore gets a 47. When there is a margin of error of plus or minus 4, it means that they are 95% confident that the correct number is between 43 and 51. Bush gets 41. They are 95% confident that the correct number is between 37 and 45. They are not sure enough to certify the exact number, and they overlap. Thus, a statistical tie. That is how you read polls.
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