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Politics : Libertarian Discussion Forum

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To: Jim S who wrote (4153)	9/19/2000 1:21:22 PM
From: Don Lloyd	Read Replies (1) of 13062

Jim - [...The math of a vote for a third party is simple -- it takes away a vote for either of the two people with a chance to win, and multiplies the effectiveness of the smaller number of votes going to Bush or Gore. Thus, a smaller number of people will decide who will win the election...] Your statements could make sense as a public recommendation by an widely influential media personality, but still wouldn't make sense for you personally. The ONLY way that YOUR Libertarian vote can ELECT Gore is for your state to be exactly tied without your vote AND for your state to hold the balance of power in the Electoral College. This has to be orders of magnitude less probable than Clinton canceling the election altogether by whatever means, if he can't find a way to steal it again. In fact, the probability of Browne actually winning is far greater than the probability of your vote electing Gore. Your failure to vote Libertarian is not cost free either. If you can elect Gore, then you also can prevent the Libertarian Party from maintaining major party status in your state by falling under a vote count threshold. Regards, Don

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