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Technology Stocks : Westell WSTL
WSTL 6.0100.0%Dec 18 4:00 PM EST

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To: Michael F. Donadio who wrote (20497)9/21/2000 4:44:12 PM
From: Mark[ox5]  Read Replies (1) of 21342
 
ASP discussion

Ok I found 2 pure plays in researching
Corio (CRIO) & US Interworking (USIX)

Corio is a recent IPO, Goldman Sachs based
Market cap is $460 million and that is with IPO hype
Revenue stream last Q which is all ASP was $10 million
Compare to CPI division which of the $10 million last Q, I doubt much if any is ASP.

Corio has started from basically zero revenue and is now at $10 million in the most recent quarter, much faster growing than CPI. 96.7% sequential revenue growth (3 months) versus 40% year over year for CPI.

So that is 1 comparable trading at $9

Second comparable is US INterworking which at the top of the tech hype and pure play ASP was $71, now at $7

Market cap is $680 million
It delivers Ariba, Broadvision, MSFT, Siebel (waiting on customer list from CPI)
Revenue in most recent quarter was $26 million (2 and 1/2 times that of CPI) and it had 47% SEQUENTIAL growth compared to CPI 40% YEAR OVER YEAR growth.
It has more revenue in past 6 months than CPI in a full year yet is valued at under $700 million.

Also once again all of these 2 companies are the "hyped" ASP revenue whereas I doubt more than 10%? of CPI is ASP at this point.

Anyhow these are 2 very small companies
USIX cash $165 million
Corio $46 million before July IPO

Also here is an interesting article

biz.yahoo.com

Food for thought anyways, and I still see no justification for $1 billion or even $500 million valuation on this unit ....

Feel free to be critical of my analysis but it's backed up with numbers...
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