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Technology Stocks : Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO)

CSCO 76.11

+0.9%

Nov 21 9:30 AM EST

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To: bambs who wrote (40165)	9/27/2000 11:37:19 PM
From: RetiredNow	Read Replies (2) of 77400

OK, Bambs et al, you guys are going to love this forecast. I calculated operating cash flows per share from 1996 through the present, then calculated price per operating cash flow per share, and then extrapolated through 2005. This way no one can argue about EPS distortions. This is pure cash, boys and girls. Here are the results. Read it and weep, Bambs. :) FYE RevRate Rev OCFRate OCF/Share P/OCF/Share Price Jul-96 4.1 0.18 14 2.56 Jul-97 57% 6.4 39% 0.25 24 5.89 Jul-98 32% 8.5 88% 0.47 34 15.96 Jul-99 43% 12.2 34% 0.63 49 31.06 Jul-00 55% 18.9 54% 0.97 67 65.44 -------------------------------------------------------- Jul-01 50% 28.4 50% 1.46 50 72.75 Jul-02 45% 41.1 45% 2.11 45 94.94 Jul-03 40% 57.6 40% 2.95 40 118.15 Jul-04 35% 77.7 35% 3.99 35 139.56 Jul-05 30% 101.0 30% 5.18 30 155.51 FYE=Fiscal Year End RevRate=Revenue Growth Rate Rev=Revenues in billions OCFRate=Operating Cash Flow Growth Rate OCF/Share=Operating Cash Flows per share P/OCF/Share=Price per Operating Cash Flows per share Price=Actual/Forecasted Price

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