NUANCE COMMUNICATIONS (NUAN) -- Voice Interface Software Message Board

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Technology Stocks : NUANCE COMMUNICATIONS (NUAN) -- Voice Interface Software

NUAN 54.84

0.0%

Aug 11 5:00 PM EST

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To: Walter Morton who started this subject	9/28/2000 12:37:18 PM
From: player203	of 191

Caplitalist: I hope to read your analysis and forecast soon. I will share with you the lockup analysis for 10/9. Please correct me if you find something wrong. The unlock amount on 10/9 will be 3,785,972 out of 4.5 million flowing shares. According to my observation in the past two days, I assumed there was at least 1 million shares of secondary offer (3 mil) sold in the market. So, in next two weeks, 5.37 million shares of NUAN could be sold in the market. If the market is bad, some institutions may sell their shares because October normally is tax-loss selling period for most mutual funds. If those institutions bought NUAN through market on 4/13, they can lock 400% capital gain if NUAN is 121 on 10/9. Since the secondary offer price is 121, whenever NUAN goes above 121, it will encounter the selling pressure. I hope that 3 million shares secondary offers can be sold before 10/9. Otherwise, the stock price will be dropped sharply because too much shares are unlocked at that time. Please post here and keep this thread in active. Thanks.

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