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Technology Stocks : C-Cube

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To: William T. Katz who wrote (15920)5/21/1997 3:58:00 PM
From: Shelly Wolfsdorf   of 50808
 
Please understand that doing research in China, finding out market share is very
difficult. Most of the infomation are regional. C-Cube may be strong in
southern part of China, and ESST may be strong in the middle region (just
guessing). If you take regional information and extrapolate, you will
get different conclusion. Therefore may be both AB and Fred Chan firmly
believe their own interpretation. The truth is very hard to find out until
the Q ends.

There are no major research houses in China and infomation exchange is
relatively inefficient right now. But I believe that will change soon.
Because of the volatility, situation can change over night on the up side
as well. You never know.

One thing I know is that VCD is becoming a very important consumer product.
In a recent survey in Shanghai, 20% said they would buy VCD in the next 6 months,
20% in next 6 to 12 months and 12% in the next one to two years. Only 6% said
they would wait for two years (I am translating a regional newspaper article here).
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