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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack -- A Complete Analysis

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To: Dan Duchardt who wrote (31662)	9/30/2000 10:38:32 PM
From: donald sew	Read Replies (1) of 42787

Dan, Good well thought out post. Although I do mention the peaks in the VIX of 1987 and 1998 I really do not stick to stagnant type of analysis. I prefer to use relativity as an important basis for most of my analysis, including the VIX. This is such a dynamic market that rules which were appropiate a year ago may not be as appropriate now. Using QCHART compare the ratio for the the DOW to the VIX(INDU.X /VIX.X). In early APRIL that ratio got as low as 34 per the weekly charts, and it closed this FRIDAY at 60, nowhere near the 34 in early APRIL. Does it imply that the market is heading lower, No - that would be the wrong conclusion. What I feel is a good conclusion if that if the market was to continue to drop, it could drop alot more, and alot more than most think. In other words, the potential downside could still be substantial. Am I going to put alot into in, NO, but I do think it is an important note that I will remember.

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