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Technology Stocks : Apple Inc.
AAPL 277.96-0.3%Dec 8 3:59 PM EST

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To: Mama Bear who wrote (28991)10/1/2000 6:14:37 PM
From: Meathead  Read Replies (1) of 213174
 
Re: did you catch the trading in EMLX the other
day...


Good point.

However, EMLX is not AAPL. Two totally different
stocks. Stocks that are trading at huge multiples,
>30 times sales and a PE of 150+, are discounting
growth and earnings far into the future. EMLX
trades thinner during regular hours than many do
after hours and anything that might cast doubt
on this forward looking premium can cause a
catastrophic meltdown. I don't put Apple quite
in this category as it was trading roughly at
2x revenue with a trailing PE of 25 before it
got slammed. Not overvalued like EMLX with
it's projected 30% earnings growth rate
and PEG of 4.

So in comparison, a small cap with nosebleed
valuations has a press release stating that
their CEO resigns and the co. is under investigation
as it restates earnings from profit to loss and it
looses 60% of it's value (temporarily) during
regular hours. A well established appropriately
valued company with solid earnings announces that
the Quarter will come in a little less than expected
and they loose 50% in afterhours.

Two totally different scenarios. One says temporary
weakness, the other says our whole existence past,
present and future is a sham and in question. In
light of the headlines EMLX experienced with that
hoax, one could make the argument that regular
hours saved their stock from loosing 90% of its
value.

Re: There were over 8 million shares of AAPL
traded in about 2 hours. I don't think of 4 million
shares per hour as being illiquid.


I've heard this argument put forth by many on other
threads. IMO, absolute numbers mean very little and
we have to look at the relative nature of things.

In light of the news, it was illiquid relative
to the number of shares that wanted to change
hands. In the first two hours of regular trading,
I think somewhere in the neighborhood 70M shares
traded hands which dwarfs that seemingly huge 8M
in the afterhours market.

MEATHEAD
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