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Strategies & Market Trends : ahhaha's ahs

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To: Jorj X Mckie who wrote (149)	10/3/2000 9:34:26 PM
From: ahhaha	Read Replies (1) of 24758

Before I answer I want to warn people that SI suddenly and inexplicably deletes a post as it is being created. At first I thought I had been hitting the wrong key, but discovered that the erasure is originating elsewhere and abruptly. -will fiber-to-the-home be a reality? Yes. -how long would it take for the FTTH buildout? System should be substantially in place by 2008. -Will service providers offer bundled voice and data services? Yes. It will be the MSOs deployment of mixed services and the threat of data services provided by the onset of power utility fiber control systems that will force the BOCs to engage in FTTH build. -Is wireless-to-the-home a viable last mile technology? No. -is wireless viable as a last mile technology for the enterprise? Not as a last mile business service but definitely in the added value business market, but like copper it also is doomed to extinction. There are opportunities for well run wireless companies creating and supporting closed wireless networks. -If the existing outside cable plant is moving to fiber, will that affect the copper commodity market? Yes. Copper ISP will continue to exist but 90% of copper ISPs business will be done through their relation with fiber network distributors. Eventually, say 15 years, copper will cease to exist -Will there ever be usage based billing on packet networks or will it be service level agreements with different levels of QoS for different types of traffic? Packet is just protocol. Don't get fixated with that. As FTTH becomes the dominant service QoS will have a standard availability. Each home will be allotted a basic 10 mbps and anything above that will be tiered. On the bigger scale of core to edge commodity SLAs will be available.

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