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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold Price Monitor
GDXJ 92.99+2.9%Nov 7 4:00 PM EST

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To: d:oug who wrote (58110)10/7/2000 6:27:41 AM
From: d:oug  Read Replies (2) of 116753
 
Bad Bad Barrick ABX w/ silver may become more valuable than gold

egroups.com

From : J.Cook-investment rarities.com

Sensational Silver
August 2000

"Within our lifetime, silver may very well become
more valuable than gold, as it was in ancient Egypt."

... claimed that prices would explode upwards
after the controls were lifted and as usual,
he was right.

A similar situation exists today with silver...

... short sales that artificially suppress the price.

... a tremendous volume of silver has been
borrowed and then sold...

... the mining companies and others who borrowed
the silver and then sold it have kept the price depressed.

This silver wouldn't have been sold at those prices
by the owners... it's not normal to free markets.

Commodity laws prohibit short sales from mining companies
for more than one year's production. That's because nobody
can look into the future for years ahead. Yet mining companies
such as Barrick and others have borrowed silver and sold it
in amounts up to five years of future production.

It must be paid back eventually so it represents a huge short
overhanging the market for years to come with the likely outcome
of a painful short
squeeze.

... Theodore Butler, argues that silver would be $15 to $20
an ounce without these free-market irregularities.

After all, who would sell silver at giveaway prices
(under the cost of production) when it's in known
short supply, and demand is far greater than supply?

Nobody sells something for which there is a shortage
until they are enticed to do so by higher prices.

Yet that's what's been happening.

This represents more fuel on a potential bonfire.

Ted Butler insists there will be an explosion
that forces up the price of silver until
these market distortions are cleared.

Then the price of silver will have to come to rest
at levels that reflect true supply and demand factors.

According to him, it's not out of the question
for silver to rise to $50 or $100 an ounce.

Figure it out yourself.

You have booming industrial demand for silver
(soon to be a billion ounces a year).

The available supply from scrap recovery and mining
is 25% less than required.

Above ground supplies are tapped out and used up.

There is an ongoing short of stupendous levels that's
so precarious it's considered by some to be an act of
financial hari-kari.

Silver has an incredible number of industrial uses
and most can't be substituted.

Mining production can't be easily expanded
because most silver comes as a byproduct
of other types of mining.

Silver production fell last year.

Taken in total it's an amazingly bullish story that only.....

Josh Wright, egroups's GoldWorldNet Moderator

egroups.com
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