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Non-Tech : KIDE a good play to capitalize on Pokemon craze

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To: Tony Grier who wrote (1214)10/7/2000 11:07:35 AM
From: jgideon  Read Replies (1) of 1239
 
As of 6/30/00 KDE had 141.4 M is cash and short term
equivalents. For the 13.07 M (diluted) shares, that
comes to $10.82 per share.

In Q2, the cash position went down from 211.9 M to 141.4 M.
If that happened again this quarter, then they'd have about
71 M in cash at the end of Q3. That's about $5.40/sh.

Last year the cash position improved from Q2 to Q3, going
from 19.3 to 33.6. If it improved by that much this year,
KDE would have about 155 M, or $11.80/sh.

I've only just started following KDE again, so I haven't
kept up with the information. Can someone provide info
to indicate where the cash position is expected to be?
The above scenarios probably bracket the possibilities.

Either way, KDE has a large cash position, and this stock
is selling for very cheap. Wall Street appears to be betting
that management will just waste this cash hoard, and that
they'll never get another license to approach the success
of Pokemon.

I don't know about giving it a 20 to 40 PE, at least based
on current earnings. I think a 20 PE based on sustainable
earnings is reasonable. Haven't done enough digging to
estimate sustainable earnings level, yet. Would appreciate
opinions.

jg
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