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Strategies & Market Trends : Rande Is . . . HOME

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To: KevinThompson who wrote (38208)10/12/2000 3:58:10 PM
From: maverick61   of 57584
 
Kevin - my thoughts. I posted these somewhat a bit earlier in the day - but if tensions in the middle east, a DOW drop of 380+, following the 4th highest volume day in NAZ history, with another 2 Billion+ share day today can't drop us lower than we are - we are NOT, IMO , going to see any climactic selloff resulting in a V bottom type selloff / recovery.

We have been capitulating for 6 weeks - its just been all spread out and not occurred on one day.

I was tempted to commit big to the market this afternoon - but I also feel we may get a gap down tomorrow when folks get home today and see the market results - and those left to panic sell will do so tomorrow at the open.

Then the question becomes - do I go long tomorrow on the gap down - or wait until Monday - because who knows what uncertainty the weekend may bring. Still haven't decided that one - but I do know many of the best buys I have made over the years have been in similiar circumstances in October.

Finally, its just my opinion that all those looking for a V bottom will be looking for a long time. Actually hope I am wrong - as it would make life a lot easier - since a V bottom is real clear and would bring money back into the market

Only time will tell for sure
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